2024 YR 4 is an asteroid estimated to be 40 to 90 metres (130 to 300 ft) in diameter that is classified as an Apollo-type (Earth-crossing) near-Earth object.It was discovered by the Chilean station of the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) on 27 December 2024. [2] [1] As of 12 February 2025, 2024 YR 4 was rated as a 3 on the Torino scale, with a 1-in-48 …

5 days ago · Overview. Asteroid 2024 YR4 is a near-Earth asteroid, meaning it is an asteroid in an orbit that brings it into Earth’s region of the Solar System. 2024 YR4 is estimated to be about 130 to 300 feet (40 – 90 meters) wide and has a very small chance of Earth impact on Dec. 22, 2032.

1 day ago · The chances currently stand at 2.1% or about 1 in 47, astronomers stress that as they refine orbital calculations for 2024 YR4, as the asteroid is called, the odds are likely to fall to zero.

5 days ago · While still an extremely low possibility, additional observations and analysis of asteroid 2024 YR4 indicate that its impact probability with Earth has increased to a 2.3% chance on Dec. 22, 2032. Ongoing observations from ground-based telescopes involved with the International Asteroid Warning Network will continue while the asteroid is still visible through …

3 days ago · Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on 27 December 2024. As of 10 February 2025, it has an approximately 98% chance of safely passing Earth on 22 December 2032. Astronomers are working to reduce our uncertainty about the asteroid’s orbit and rule out any impact risk, but it will fade from view from Earth in a few months’ time, and a small ...

Feb 5, 2025 · According to the latest calculations from NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, there is a 1.6% chance the asteroid will strike Earth on December 22, 2032. The asteroid 2024 YR4 is now rated at...

Jan 29, 2025 · Asteroid 2024 YR4 has an almost 99% chance of safely passing Earth on 22 December 2032, but a possible impact cannot yet be entirely ruled out. The asteroid is estimated to be between 40 m and 100 m wide. It is too early to determine where exactly on Earth a potential impact could occur.

Feb 5, 2025 · A newly discovered near-Earth asteroid called 2024 YR4 is one possibly perilous object: It’s a 130 to 300-foot long rock that currently stands a 1 in 53 chance of impacting somewhere on Earth...

Jan 30, 2025 · A recently discovered near-Earth asteroid, dubbed 2024 YR4, is making headlines because of the slim possibility that it could impact Earth on Dec. 22, 2032. Early observations suggest that it has about a 1% chance of colliding with our planet. So why all the fuss?

Feb 4, 2025 · The European Space Agency is closely monitoring asteroid 2024 YR4, which has a very small chance of impacting Earth in 2032. We are updating the numbers and the graphics on this page on average once per day.